Fitting the Yield Curve: Cubic spline interpolation and smooth extrapolation
Document ID: 2008-1165 (previously 2008/05)
Published on: 1st September 2008
Author: David Antonio & David Roseburgh
This document describes the current Barrie & Hibbert methodology for interpolating and extrapolating to the unconditional nominal forward rate. We use a regression spline technique for the interpolation and extrapolate using the Nelson-Siegel form. We outline the methods and present back-testing for GBP, USD, EUR, JPY and TWD for the quarters from March 2007 to March 2008 inclusive. This methodology is applied to calibrations for all economies from the end of September 2008 onwards.
Please note - this document was updated in March 2010 - the original title was Fitting the Yield Curve: Spline Interpolation and Nelson-Siegel Extrapolation.