An Alternative (Rejected) Stochastic Model for Mortality
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Document ID: 2000-94 (previously 2000/007)
Published on: 1st October 2000
Author: Craig Turnbull
This article has been archived. This note sets out a modfication to our stochastic mortality model, where we relax the assumption that current mortality rates are a best estimate of future mortality rates. The model is rejected as a method of approximating market prices, given that the assumption that future market prices are mispriced appears to be inconsistent with a reasonable pricing model.